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Hurricanes at Canucks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSSO, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 7:44 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 29, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Thatcher Demko stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (28 saves, .966), 2. Tyler Myers (1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Myers1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01001019129
VANVAN1611109226

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:44

3rd period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:32

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:35CARMartin Necas · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 6:57VANBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCAR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 2nd 7:44 — VAN 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.17B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.11T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.10J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.0 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVAN
2.31 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR56%44%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
24
0
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-140.19120—27:04
28I. ColeD000-110.01110—22:00
37A. SvechnikovR000030.36000—21:31
88M. NecasC101020.4330210021:24
16V. TrocheckC000030.366104719:45
76B. SkjeiD000-130.04320—19:43
86T. TeravainenC000-120.07010018:54
82J. KotkaniemiC011000.061006017:22
24S. JarvisR011020.21000—17:05
11J. StaalC000-130.175006416:55
71J. FastR000010.03000—16:44
21N. NiederreiterR000-120.17100—16:30
64J. ChatfieldD000-110.01110—14:59
7B. SmithD000000.04100—14:08
25E. BearD000+100.05110—09:30
78S. LorentzC000000.0010010009:17
18D. StepanC000020.141006708:36
42M. LajoieD000+100.00000—08:33
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(L)26242.9232.02+0.0258:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).