Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 5:52 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were BOS 27, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Linus Ullmark (40 saves, .952).
Three stars
- ★P. Bergeron2 A

- ★★B. Marchand1 G, 1 A

- ★★★L. Ullmark40 saves, .952

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-017:43
2nd period
2-05:52
3-06:48
3-112:19
3rd period
4-12:57
4-218:24
Penalties
1st
- 10:32
Brad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 10:50
Sean Monahan · Slashingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
2nd
- 1:55
Matt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
- 11:12
Anton Blidh · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
- 15:13
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
3rd
- 6:20
Taylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
- 14:18
Sean Monahan · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 5:52 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.94 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.7
- 1.84 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.5
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G2.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 4.64
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 26
- Hits
- 22
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 9
- Giveaways
- 12
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
0Final
4@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
