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Florida Panthers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ+, BSFL·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 9:15 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were FLA 23, ARI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA3100904323
ARIARI180906123

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:05
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    9:15
  3. ARI
    P. Kessel(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    16:53
  4. FLA
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    19:35

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:25FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 15:39FLAPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 18:22ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 6:40FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 13:59ARIRyan Dzingel · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 14:15FLASam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 17:25ARIJay Beagle · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 5:34ARIAndrew Ladd · Hookingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 10:34FLAMaxim Mamin · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalFLA goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 9:15 — FLA 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.12T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsARI
1.53 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA41%59%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsARI
23
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011+220.15202—24:53
52M. WeegarD000+220.07032—23:08
11J. HuberdeauL011+110.03010—20:34
42G. ForslingD000010.04010—20:31
9S. BennettC101+230.161003619:25
7R. GudasD000010.03320—18:47
13S. ReinhartC112+120.291026018:05
62B. MontourD000020.21110—17:20
15A. LundellC000020.270205016:53
23C. VerhaegheC000010.0200010016:03
70P. HornqvistR112+120.05102—15:22
94R. LombergL011+100.00400—14:02
27E. LuostarinenC011000.060106712:59
98M. MaminC000000.00102011:30
19J. ThorntonC000010.080102911:23
77F. VatranoR000020.06100—10:24
4O. JuoleviD000010.03000—10:17
74O. TippettR000000.002003309:13
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)23221.9572.00+1.0059:48

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).