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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV BSSUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 19:22 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were TBL 27, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Jake Allen stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. Corey Perry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    C. Perry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1701129327
MTLMTL092608223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    P. Maroon(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:31

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(6)
    D. Savard (6), J. Drouin (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:20
  2. MTL
    J. Drouin(4)
    M. Hoffman (4), N. Suzuki (12)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:08

3rd period

  1. TBL
    C. Perry(6)
    S. Stamkos (16), V. Hedman (22)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:51
  2. TBL
    O. Palat(7)
    A. Killorn (13), A. Cirelli (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +50 pts
    3-2
    19:22

Penalties

TBL 19 PIM·MTL 13 PIM

1st

  • 13:16TBLBoris Katchouk · Holdingdrawn by Kale Clague2 min
  • 16:15MTLBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

2nd

  • 14:57MTLAlexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:57MTLAlexander Romanov · Fightingdrawn by Zach Bogosian5 min
  • 14:57TBLZach Bogosian · Instigatordrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 14:57TBLZach Bogosian · Fightingdrawn by Alexander Romanov5 min
  • 14:57TBLZach Bogosian · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:12MTLDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

3rd

  • 9:23MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 3rd 19:22 — TBL 48% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.18C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.15R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.10L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.93 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL72%28%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/1
19
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
21
13
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+330.26000—24:23
71A. CirelliC011+130.440105323:05
98M. SergachevD000-110.12010—21:45
27R. McDonaghD000-100.03000—21:24
17A. KillornL011+220.17000—20:42
91S. StamkosC011+110.020006519:36
18O. PalatL101+220.28100—19:29
44J. RuttaD000+100.00000—19:28
52C. FooteD000-100.00210—16:56
79R. ColtonC000-220.16300015:02
7M. JosephR000-130.16200—13:57
10C. PerryR101+240.45020—13:37
16T. RaddyshR000-110.01000—12:44
14P. MaroonL101+120.53100—12:43
41P. BellemareL000+110.180103611:58
24Z. BogosianD000010.072117—11:55
13B. KatchoukL000-110.0410210010:22
82G. FortierL000000.00200—09:34
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)23212.9131.72-0.2859:20

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).