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Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV BSOH, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 15:08 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 3.1, TOR 3.2; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TOR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.7 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Rielly (4 A), 2. Auston Matthews (2 G, 1 A), 3. Oliver Bjorkstrand (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Rielly4 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ09112311432
TORTOR318212010540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(11)PPG
    A. Matthews (11), M. Rielly (16)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:43
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(16)
    M. Bunting (12), M. Rielly (17)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:08
  3. TOR
    N. Ritchie(1)
    O. Kase (4)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:30

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(7)PPG
    Z. Werenski (12), B. Jenner (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    11:39
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(12)PPG
    M. Rielly (18), W. Nylander (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    18:34
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(17)
    M. Rielly (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:41

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(8)
    J. Bean (6), G. Hofmann (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    0:33
  2. CBJ
    S. Kuraly(5)
    A. Texier (5), E. Robinson (6)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    16:25
  3. CBJ
    M. Domi(4)
    J. Voracek (19), J. Roslovic (6)
    wristxG 0.08
    4-5
    19:59

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:30CBJCole Sillinger · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 4:43CBJserved by M. Domi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:52TORMichael Bunting · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

2nd

  • 10:16TORMorgan Rielly · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Danforth2 min
  • 18:25CBJOliver Bjorkstrand · Trippingdrawn by Alex Steeves2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 1st 15:08 — TOR 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.36N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.18W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.09P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.08K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.07K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.03K. Rubins · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02K. Rubins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02K. Rubins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
3.14 G
All situations
5 G3.2
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ54%46%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
40
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011+230.18010—27:34
93J. VoracekR011+130.21100—21:25
27A. BoqvistD000+120.11000—20:27
2A. PeekeD000-110.01510—20:07
38B. JennerC011020.510206219:58
22J. BeanD011+110.04200—19:57
44V. GavrikovD000-210.04020—19:46
28O. BjorkstrandR202-170.58102—18:57
16M. DomiC101010.10100017:32
14G. NyquistR000-110.04000—14:40
96J. RoslovicC011040.310103314:31
15G. HofmannC011000.00110014:10
17J. DanforthR000020.293005713:52
34C. SillingerC000-100.130022912:58
53G. CarlssonD000-100.00100—12:01
7S. KuralyC101+120.092005011:39
50E. RobinsonL011+100.00100—11:15
42A. TexierL011+120.47000—10:08
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)30255.8332.29-2.7139:35
40D. Tarasov101001.0000.57+0.5717:06

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).