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Avalanche at Canadiens
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV ALT, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 15:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were COL 34, MTL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Jake Allen stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (1 G), 2. Cale Makar (1 G), 3. Ben Chiarot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Chiarot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01329212434
MTLMTL041907120

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:11
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:51
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:49

3rd period

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:31
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.93win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:11

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:46COLAlex Newhook · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 13:48COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 17:08MTLBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

2nd

  • 3:00COLTyson Jost · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 6:22COLGabriel Landeskog · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 9:14MTLRyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 7:34MTLDavid Savard · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 13:59COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 17:45COLTyson Jost · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Allen2 min
  • 17:45MTLAlexander Romanov · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCOL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 15:49 — COL 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.07J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL1 G · 1.1 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMTL
3.83 G
All situations
1 G1.1
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.61 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL83%17%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMTL
34
Shots on goal
20
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+230.32120—25:08
8C. MakarD101+220.12000—22:49
49S. GirardD011+210.02110—21:15
92G. LandeskogL101+231.063046019:53
96M. RantanenR011+210.30100—19:52
6E. JohnsonD000+220.02100—19:30
29N. MacKinnonC011+230.211103619:26
13V. NichushkinR112+250.68220—17:43
91N. KadriC011+130.270005316:16
3J. JohnsonD000010.02050—16:02
25L. O'ConnorR011+110.17210—14:18
43D. HelmC000020.171106713:19
17T. JostC000010.100141413:09
95A. BurakovskyL101+130.32100—12:34
18A. NewhookC000000.051021411:33
56K. MacDermidL000030.02000—10:43
16N. Aube-KubelR000000.0000210009:32
12J. MegnaC000000.000105006:32
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)20191.9501.06+0.0659:57

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).