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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
5
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-5. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 4:21 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were VGK 39, ANA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.3 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G), 2. Sonny Milano (3 A), 3. Josh Manson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Milano3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK013210316539
ANAANA01141528634

Scoring

11 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(15)
    J. Drysdale (9), S. Steel (1)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:21
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(7)
    S. Milano (9), T. Zegras (9)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:26
  3. VGK
    W. Carrier(3)
    M. Amadio (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:23
  4. ANA
    J. Manson(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    13:19
  5. ANA
    H. Lindholm(3)
    S. Milano (10), T. Zegras (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:49
  6. VGK
    Z. Whitecloud(3)SHG
    M. Janmark (4), B. Howden (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    19:48

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Janmark(2)SHG
    M. Stone (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    1:58
  2. ANA
    J. Drysdale(3)
    S. Milano (11), T. Zegras (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    6:55
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(3)PPG
    S. Theodore (9)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    4-5
    11:30
  4. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.96win prob +11 pts
    4-6
    18:56
  5. VGK
    R. Smith(10)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (9), M. Pacioretty (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    5-6
    19:31

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:40ANAHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 17:03VGKWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

2nd

  • 18:02VGKEvgenii Dadonov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anthony Stolarz2 min

3rd

  • 1:06VGKChandler Stephenson · Cross checkingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 3:42ANADerek Grant · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 10:03ANANicolas Deslauriers · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 18:08ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 2nd 4:21 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.96T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.26V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.16T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.15J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.15J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.13S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.10J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.09S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.07V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA6 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
2.75 G
All situations
5 G3.6
1.21 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.32 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK50%50%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
39
Shots on goal
34
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011010.05020—28:06
20C. StephensonC000-100.002125923:24
14N. HagueD000+160.25010—22:43
27S. TheodoreD011-320.04010—22:16
67M. PaciorettyL112-180.44200—21:02
61M. StoneR011020.18110—20:36
19R. SmithR101-220.30100—18:04
10N. RoyC000-210.071008617:44
2Z. WhitecloudD101-130.23230—17:13
3B. McNabbD000000.00210—16:37
63E. DadonovL000-250.51002—16:32
81J. MarchessaultR000-330.19000—14:53
26M. JanmarkC112+110.1500010013:22
55K. KolesarR000-200.001004710:27
28W. CarrierL101-130.19202—10:04
17B. HuttonD000-200.00110—08:06
21B. HowdenC011010.020104007:39
22M. AmadioR011010.0900010006:59
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)33285.8482.69-2.3158:06

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).