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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-3. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 9:34 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were NJD 27, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (31 saves, .912), 3. Jan Rutta (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    Y. Sharangovich2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood31 saves, .912
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Rutta1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1401548527
TBLTBL29113012334

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:49
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:56
  3. TBL
    P. Maroon(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    18:15

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:17

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:12
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:39
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.08win prob +32 pts
    4-3
    9:34
  4. NJD
    backhandxG 0.81win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:44

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:10NJDP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 8:47NJDPavel Zacha · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:10TBLAlex Killorn · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 17:31NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

2nd

  • 7:36TBLCorey Perry · Illegal check to headdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 11:19TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

3rd

  • 10:06NJDRyan Graves · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Brayden Point0 min
  • 15:02NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 9:34 — NJD 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.35B. Point · Missed · xG 0.23B. Point · On goal · xG 0.20P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.16A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.08B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rutta · Goal · xG 0.03B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
4.14 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
26
5
Blocked shots
7
2
Giveaways
1
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33R. GravesD011+300.00010—23:36
7D. HamiltonD000+310.04302—23:31
28D. SeversonD000000.88302—20:31
18D. MercerC101+230.400002119:29
20M. McLeodC000+110.181006318:59
63J. BrattL011+210.12010—18:44
71J. SiegenthalerD022010.01200—18:29
37P. ZachaC000+120.1811210018:22
13N. HischierC011+110.331004018:08
76P. SubbanD011030.07102—15:54
17Y. SharangovichC213+130.381005015:19
24T. SmithD000000.00110—14:57
16J. VeseyL101+140.253003314:32
59J. KuokkanenC000+120.11100014:16
90T. TatarL101030.93300—13:30
11A. JohnssonL000010.05200—12:21
10A. HoltzR011-110.17000—07:15
49F. ZetterlundL000000.00210—05:23
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)34313.9123.70+0.7060:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).