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Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Trevor Zegras scoring at 4:14. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 4:14 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 30, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Getzlaf (1 A), 2. Trevor Zegras (2 G), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH080621402230
ANAANA1110111712331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf (17), T. Terry (10)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:32

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    5:36
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    10:00
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +40 pts
    2-2
    17:28

Overtime

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.24win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:14

Penalties

WSH 2 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

2nd

  • 7:43WSHAxel Jonsson-Fjallby · Elbowingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min

OT

  • 4:14ANATrevor Zegras · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWSH goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, OT 4:14 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.24T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.18I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsANA
2.62 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH57%43%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsANA
30
Shots on goal
31
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022+130.12000—22:30
92E. KuznetsovC000-220.320102722:26
57T. van RiemsdykD000040.18010—21:47
8A. OvechkinL000-210.26600—21:40
43T. WilsonR101020.14110—21:07
9D. OrlovD000-110.03320—20:35
2J. SchultzD000-110.02040—20:34
42M. FehérváryD022+110.07210—19:41
3N. JensenD000-110.02120—19:07
73C. ShearyL000010.06010—16:31
24C. McMichaelL000+120.231003615:46
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000+100.04012—14:47
10D. SprongR000050.71100—14:24
59A. ProtasL000-110.130002213:46
21G. HathawayR000-110.06600—13:16
62C. HagelinL000+110.10100—12:55
49B. LeasonR000020.02000—10:22
40G. PilonC101+110.080007109:28
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(O)31283.9032.20-0.8064:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).