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Predators at Maple Leafs
NHL

Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV BSSO, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 7:37 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 57% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were NSH 24, TOR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jack Campbell stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Campbell (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Campbell24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH080808024
TORTOR11301229334

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(7)PPG
    W. Nylander (9), M. Rielly (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:37

3rd period

  1. TOR
    D. Kampf(3)
    O. Kase (2), A. Kerfoot (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    0-2
    16:04
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(4)EN
    D. Kampf (2), A. Matthews (7)
    backhandxG 0.41
    0-3
    19:37

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·TOR 9 PIM

1st

  • 6:46NSHRyan Johansen · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
  • 11:10NSHPhilip Tomasino · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 14:46NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Nick Ritchie5 min
  • 14:46TORNick Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min

2nd

  • 1:45TORNick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 16:18NSHLuke Kunin · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 5:32NSHMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 5:32TORWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 13:31NSHPhilip Tomasino · Trippingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNSH goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 1st 7:37 — TOR 57% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.62M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.41A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.20P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.17M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.17W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.11D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.10O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.10P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.08P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 4.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsTOR
2.20 G
All situations
2 G4.9
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH26%74%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsTOR
24
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-230.15230—26:36
14M. EkholmD000-230.07110—23:43
64M. GranlundC000-210.080003922:44
95M. DucheneC000-230.570002522:01
5M. BenningD000000.00420—19:34
57D. FabbroD000010.02250—19:18
92R. JohansenC000-140.182126118:33
84T. JeannotL000010.00100—18:29
11L. KuninC000-100.14312016:47
55P. MyersD000010.07400—16:16
28E. TolvanenR000-120.20200—13:31
10C. SissonsC000000.093005012:43
13Y. TreninC000020.09410012:35
90M. BorowieckiD000000.00122—12:13
26P. TomasinoR000010.27014—12:10
82T. NovakC000020.27000009:15
47M. McCarronC000000.00205008:33
25M. OlivierR000000.00000—08:24
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)33312.9393.84+1.8457:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).