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Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Canucks scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sonny Milano's goal at 8:55 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 5.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 27, ANA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.1 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sonny Milano (1 G), 3. Josh Manson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Zegras2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Milano1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Manson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1701109127
ANAANA113211214538

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes (12), J. Miller (11)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:29
  2. ANA
    T. Zegras(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    12:35

2nd period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras(4)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    2:13
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:55

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.89
    1-4
    19:02
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.09
    1-5
    19:23

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:05VANElias Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
  • 8:58VANJustin Bailey · High sticking double minordrawn by Troy Terry4 min

2nd

  • 1:12VANKyle Burroughs · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 19:17ANAHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVAN goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Sonny Milano, 2nd 8:55 — ANA 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.89T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.73A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.55S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.17M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.15J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.14T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.14D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.13A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.11S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.10J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.09S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.08C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 5.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsANA
2.11 G
All situations
4 G5.0
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN36%64%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsANA
27
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.06000—23:06
57T. MyersD000-120.15240—21:45
53B. HorvatC000-130.311005020:11
43Q. HughesD011000.00000—20:06
9J. MillerC011030.261004419:24
44K. BurroughsD000010.03452—19:06
6B. BoeserR000-120.25110—17:56
8C. GarlandR000-210.10000—17:34
4M. BoweyD000-100.01110—16:53
40E. PetterssonC000020.210123316:52
70T. PearsonL000000.06210—15:23
21N. HoglanderL101060.38010—15:22
18J. DickinsonC000010.043202515:20
77B. HuntD000-110.01200—14:17
64T. MotteC000-210.0630010012:23
92V. PodkolzinR000020.10200—11:46
91J. LammikkoC000-110.072104010:10
95J. BaileyR000-100.00004—07:08
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)37334.8922.86-1.1458:29

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).