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Canucks at Golden Knights
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-4. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 8:24 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 56% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.5 to 3.8; shots on goal were VAN 43, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 32 of 39 (.821), 3.2 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 39 of 43 (.907). Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Leschyshyn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    E. Dadonov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Leschyshyn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN210115118443
VGKVGK19213417739

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:09
  2. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    5:56
  3. VGK
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:46

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:50
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    10:51
  3. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.63win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:15

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    2:20
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.30win prob +25 pts
    4-4
    3:12
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 pts
    4-5
    8:24
  4. VGK
    snapxG 0.24win prob +10 pts
    4-6
    14:04
  5. VGK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    15:27

Penalties

VAN 21 PIM·VGK 17 PIM

1st

  • 3:55VGKMark Stone · High stickingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 10:11VANJason Dickinson · High stickingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 18:43VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 18:43VGKBrayden McNabb · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 18:43VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 19:09VANJustin Bailey · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 10:32VANAlex Chiasson · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 10:32VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 12:22VGKChandler Stephenson · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:34VANNils Hoglander · Trippingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 18:51VGKserved by M. Amadio · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:42VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

3rd

  • 7:03VANThatcher Demko · Delaying game2 min
  • 10:13VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 18:49VGKBen Hutton · Fightingdrawn by Jason Dickinson5 min
  • 18:49VANJason Dickinson · Fightingdrawn by Ben Hutton5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalVAN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 3rd 8:24 — VGK 56% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.26E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.24J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.21J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.20R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.15J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.13J. Leschyshyn · Goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.08M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rondbjerg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06B. McNabb · Goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK7 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsVGK
4.54 G
All situations
7 G3.8
3.84 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN60%40%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.34 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsVGK
43
Shots on goal
39
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
2/6
21
Penalty minutes
17
33
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-110.02000—23:44
57T. MyersD011010.03500—23:30
44K. BurroughsD000+130.05420—19:58
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000+110.03126—19:34
53B. HorvatC000-230.380006319:30
6B. BoeserR000-160.69000—18:56
40E. PetterssonC000-310.210103318:10
9J. MillerC101+150.6630010017:04
8C. GarlandR011030.28000—14:56
92V. PodkolzinR000+110.11510—14:49
4M. BoweyD000-200.00310—14:35
70T. PearsonL101-130.241205013:58
91J. LammikkoC000010.022003313:21
77B. HuntD011-130.06000—13:08
18J. DickinsonC000020.233075612:20
95J. BaileyR000+140.16302—10:50
21N. HoglanderL213+151.30002—10:27
39A. ChiassonR000+100.00312—08:46
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)39327.8213.78-3.2260:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).