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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV BSSW, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 6-3. The Stars scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vasily Podkolzin's goal at 15:45 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 28, VAN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Miller (2 G), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1111819328
VANVAN01141629636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    13:35

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:19
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    6:37
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.34win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:10
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:38
  5. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    15:45

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Suter(1)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    3:23
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    3-5
    13:44
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.23
    3-6
    17:39

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:09VANQuinn Hughes · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

2nd

  • 2:12DALMiro Heiskanen · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 5:49DALRadek Faksa · Kneeingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 10:57DALJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 11:46DALRyan Suter · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 19:40VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 19:40VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

3rd

  • 7:27DALJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 12:41DALRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Juho Lammikko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Vasily Podkolzin, 2nd 15:45 — VAN 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.56B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.34B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.25B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.22Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.20E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.11T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.10V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.43 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.52 G
Power play
3 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL38%62%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
3/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-110.05100—23:54
23E. LindellD000-110.01120—22:18
20R. SuterD112010.07004—21:49
4M. HeiskanenD011-240.23102—21:25
91T. SeguinC011-110.180104318:47
24R. HintzC011-230.412106016:51
47A. RadulovR000-200.05000—16:43
14J. BennL000-150.430003315:58
11L. GlendeningC101+120.175003315:51
21J. RobertsonL022-110.02000—15:41
2J. HakanpääD000000.00232—14:36
16J. PavelskiC101-230.291002014:18
12R. FaksaC000010.010227314:17
34D. GurianovR000000.00210—13:02
55T. HarleyD000010.15010—13:01
18M. RafflL000010.15110—11:50
15B. ComeauL000+100.00200—11:43
25J. KivirantaL000030.14302—10:40
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)35305.8573.09-1.9159:18

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).