Skip to content
Golden Knights at Red Wings
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Golden Knights scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 18:28 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.8, DET 3.7; shots on goal were VGK 40, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.8 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pius Suter (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robby Fabbri (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (38 saves, .950).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Suter1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    R. Fabbri1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Greiss38 saves, .950

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11307120240
DETDET37110113530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:48
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    8:17
  3. DET
    R. Fabbri(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    10:13
  4. DET
    snapxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:28

2nd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:39

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    4:25
  2. DET
    slapxG 0.45
    2-5
    19:49

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:18DETNick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 7:25VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:40VGKWilliam Carrier · Holdingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 14:30DETMitchell Stephens · Holdingdrawn by Jake Leschyshyn2 min

2nd

  • 11:15DETSam Gagner · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 8:34VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 12:28VGKKeegan Kolesar · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalVGK goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 1st 18:28 — DET 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.45P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.28L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.22D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.21P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.20L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.20L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.19P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.17D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.14M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.14V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.13F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.05G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.00L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 3.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsDET
3.82 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsDET
40
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011030.26122—26:29
27S. TheodoreD011+120.09100—24:01
20C. StephensonC000030.170006821:09
19R. SmithR000040.29010—20:18
81J. MarchessaultR101050.24100—20:15
10N. RoyC112+270.730004519:50
23A. MartinezD000-110.02140—19:30
3B. McNabbD000010.00020—18:56
63E. DadonovL000-120.28010—18:24
52D. CoghlanD000-120.13110—17:13
55K. KolesarR000-140.372044315:54
14N. HagueD000-110.14000—14:19
46J. RondbjergR000-110.36000—12:28
15J. LeschyshynC000-110.050005011:14
26M. JanmarkC000-110.18000010:19
22M. AmadioR000-100.18000—09:48
21B. HowdenC000000.001005008:48
28W. CarrierL000020.32202—08:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(L)29254.8623.22-0.7855:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).