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Predators at Canucks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Vancouver Canucks
2
FinalTV BSSO, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philip Tomasino's goal at 19:15 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were NSH 28, VAN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (2 A), 2. Nils Hoglander (1 G), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Granlund2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Hoglander1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11421103328
VANVAN1131906228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(4)PPG
    E. Tolvanen (1), M. Granlund (7)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:49
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(3)
    T. Hamonic (1), J. Miller (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:51

2nd period

  1. VAN
    N. Hoglander(1)
    B. Horvat (3), T. Pearson (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:08
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(5)
    M. Granlund (8)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:26
  3. NSH
    P. Tomasino(3)PPG
    L. Kunin (3), T. Novak (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    19:15

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:25VANNils Hoglander · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 15:00NSHDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 4:44NSHPhilip Tomasino · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 12:47VANLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 12:47NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 14:09NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 18:26VANTyler Myers · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 3:08VANBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 6:58NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 12:19NSHNick Cousins · Holdingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Philip Tomasino, 2nd 19:15 — NSH 51% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.10O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.10V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH55%45%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/3
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
18
28
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101+140.12110—22:09
14M. EkholmD000000.00032—22:08
45A. CarrierD000010.02272—21:44
64M. GranlundC022+120.161204618:54
57D. FabbroD000010.02012—18:06
5M. BenningD000-110.03130—17:55
92R. JohansenC000010.031007616:46
10C. SissonsC000-210.242106716:31
84T. JeannotL000-220.15505—16:02
11L. KuninC011+110.103205015:49
17B. HarpurD000-210.08040—15:21
23R. GrimaldiR000010.04000—14:34
28E. TolvanenR011020.17100—13:29
21N. CousinsC000010.02112013:25
13Y. TreninC000-200.00000013:07
95M. DucheneC101+140.501107512:44
26P. TomasinoR101030.81222—11:10
82T. NovakC011020.110005010:06
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)28262.9292.29+0.2960:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).