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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Wahlstrom's goal at 3:31 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 36, MTL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (4 G), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (3 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson4 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier3 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI112413111636
MTLMTL010013215238

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:14

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:31
  2. NYI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    12:25
  3. NYI
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    15:23
  4. NYI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    18:08

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.12
    5-1
    15:20
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.14
    5-2
    17:04
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.58
    6-2
    19:41

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:37NYINoah Dobson · Slashingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 2:35MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 4:52MTLDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 13:29MTLAlex Belzile · Holdingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 15:42NYIScott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Alex Belzile2 min
  • 16:16NYICal Clutterbuck · Cross checkingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom, 2nd 3:31 — NYI 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.18M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.17C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.12M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
4.15 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.55 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
36
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
22
27
Blocked shots
9
21
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD011+230.05020—21:08
8N. DobsonD000+110.03342—20:24
6R. PulockD011+210.03140—20:14
27A. LeeL000-130.630205018:37
3A. PelechD000+300.00120—18:11
24S. MayfieldD000+220.08032—18:01
4A. GreeneD000000.00040—17:50
12J. BaileyR000-110.261105017:05
29B. NelsonC404+471.641106416:54
21K. PalmieriC011+310.03000016:46
13M. BarzalC000-130.232003316:41
44J. PageauC112+210.191104315:39
18A. BeauvillierR033+350.57000—15:23
53C. CizikasC011+110.034104013:44
11Z. PariseL022+210.03010—13:11
26O. WahlstromR101+250.30410—12:26
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.01202—12:07
17M. MartinL000+110.00600—10:17
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)38362.9472.77+0.7760:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).