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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV BSSO, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 1:27 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 33, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 A), 3. Tyson Barrie.

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1809116233
EDMEDM11019311530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(8)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (12), C. McDavid (11)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    6:43
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(4)
    L. Kunin (2), R. Josi (7)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:54

2nd period

  1. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(2)
    Z. Hyman (3), R. Nugent-Hopkins (13)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:27

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(9)
    C. McDavid (12), D. Nurse (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:41
  2. EDM
    D. Shore(1)
    W. Foegele (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    4:59
  3. NSH
    R. Johansen(4)PPG
    M. Duchene (5), R. Josi (8)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    15:59
  4. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(3)EN
    L. Draisaitl (11), E. Bouchard (4)
    snapxG 0.87win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:50

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:45NSHMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 3:59EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 8:05EDMDevin Shore · Trippingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 10:53NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 12:42EDMWarren Foegele · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Ingram2 min
  • 14:29EDMDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 2nd 1:27 — EDM 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.87K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.37L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.07D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.03B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
3.12 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH49%51%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45A. CarrierD000010.00030—22:28
59R. JosiD022-240.34310—22:19
14M. EkholmD000-120.13230—21:44
64M. GranlundC000-210.131025420:18
95M. DucheneC112-240.620003319:35
57D. FabbroD000-110.02110—18:12
92R. JohansenC101-110.110105617:21
28E. TolvanenR000-140.34610—16:51
11L. KuninC011-120.19500015:22
17B. HarpurD000-120.01420—14:57
84T. JeannotL000000.06200—14:17
13Y. TreninC000020.142305014:16
10C. SissonsC000020.371024413:50
26P. TomasinoR000-100.00000—13:31
5M. BenningD000-120.14410—13:24
21N. CousinsC000-110.09000013:08
82T. NovakC000-100.001005712:53
23R. GrimaldiR000040.40100—12:01
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)29254.8623.10-0.9059:35

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).