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Coyotes at Hurricanes
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
FinalTV BSAZ, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Pesce's goal at 17:33 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 23, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brett Pesce (1 G), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Pesce1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1801203123
CARCAR013114112239

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Fischer(2)
    L. Crouse (2), S. Gostisbehere (5)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:44

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(1)
    T. DeAngelo (7), J. Martinook (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    16:57

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(1)PPG
    M. Necas (3), S. Jarvis (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +33 pts
    1-2
    17:33

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:20ARIDmitrij Jaskin · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 11:43CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 14:41ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 17:27ARIPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min

2nd

  • 1:51ARIAndrew Ladd · Hookingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 1:51CARTony DeAngelo · Embellishmentdrawn by Andrew Ladd2 min
  • 4:27CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 0:57ARIBarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 6:43CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 17:16ARIJakob Chychrun · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalARI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Pesce, 3rd 17:33 — CAR 61% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.23B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.22T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.21T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.17D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.16M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.15S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.14S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 4.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCAR
1.81 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI16%84%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 4.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
13
23
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-110.05212—26:28
61D. MayoD000-110.01440—22:35
67L. CrouseL011+120.20110—19:24
9C. KellerR000010.17022—18:58
86A. StralmanD000+110.02020—18:01
14S. GostisbehereD011+130.12010—17:58
81P. KesselR000030.37102—17:55
93D. JaskinR000030.158425017:50
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00000—17:42
22J. LarssonL000-100.001202516:53
29B. HaytonC000020.144125016:30
77V. SoderstromD000000.00110—15:37
83J. BeagleC000000.001104714:31
16A. LaddL000010.02322—12:30
36C. FischerR101020.24100—12:16
38L. O'BrienC000000.00100010:00
26A. RousselL000-110.20010—08:44
21L. ErikssonL000+120.12000—07:26
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)39372.9494.12+2.1258:25

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).