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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 29, NSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. James Reimer stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (28 saves, .966), 2. Roman Josi (2 A), 3. Timo Meier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0901218129
NSHNSH1911017326

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(2)PPG
    R. Josi (5), R. Johansen (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:20

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(3)
    R. Josi (6), D. Fabbro (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:31

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(4)
    J. Dahlen (2), L. Couture (6)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    11:54
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(2)EN
    A. Carrier (3)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:07

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:01SJSNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 16:59NSHMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

2nd

  • 0:06NSHTanner Jeannot · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 5:48NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 12:31 — NSH 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.39P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.16R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.14Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.13T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS64%36%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-240.26000—26:34
38M. FerraroD000-110.06110—22:48
65E. KarlssonD000010.02000—22:11
48T. HertlC000-130.320205320:37
39L. CoutureC011010.201106818:19
28T. MeierR101040.38220—18:11
62K. LabancR000010.22100—18:05
21J. MiddletonD000+140.04100—17:42
76J. DahlenC011050.78000016:56
26J. WeatherbyC000010.010105015:49
94A. BarabanovL000-100.03000—15:03
72W. EklundL000000.000103314:51
13N. BoninoC000-110.310025613:17
44M. VlasicD000000.00200—13:03
92R. BalcersL000-110.08200—13:01
51R. SimekD000020.05100—12:40
11A. CoglianoC000000.00100011:13
83M. NietoL000000.00010—10:35
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)25232.9201.90-0.1058:46

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).