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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
1
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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Nosek's goal at 15:50 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 26, BUF 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 A), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G), 3. Linus Ullmark (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS2711118426
BUFBUF015011110136

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(1)
    B. Marchand (1), P. Bergeron (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:49
  2. BOS
    T. Nosek(1)
    C. Coyle (1), T. Hall (1)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:50

2nd period

  1. BOS
    C. Coyle(1)PPG
    B. Marchand (2), M. Reilly (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    5:17

3rd period

  1. BUF
    V. Olofsson(2)
    R. Asplund (1), C. Miller (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    3-1
    14:35
  2. BOS
    T. Hall(2)EN
    C. Coyle (2)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:12

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:19BOSErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 18:34BOSJohn Moore · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

2nd

  • 3:42BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 17:50BOSTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 7:00BUFDrake Caggiula · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 16:02BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Nosek, 1st 15:50 — BOS 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.13W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS41%59%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
26
Shots on goal
36
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
12
22
Blocked shots
6
4
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000010.01210—23:19
25B. CarloD000+100.01120—19:53
28D. ForbortD000010.00030—19:39
27J. MooreD000+120.04112—18:47
6M. ReillyD011+110.04010—18:40
63B. MarchandL022010.0221010018:11
48M. GrzelcykD000+140.20030—17:02
88D. PastrnakR101060.55000—16:39
13C. CoyleC123+210.11020016:37
37P. BergeronC011+110.130207116:27
92T. NosekL101+220.321107715:59
71T. HallL112+231.14214—15:56
56E. HaulaL000-120.050126715:12
74J. DeBruskL000000.00110—15:12
11T. FredericC000010.001005013:24
83K. KuhlmanC000000.11010011:48
12C. SmithC000000.00100011:06
81A. BlidhL000000.00210—08:09
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)36351.9722.39+1.3960:00

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).