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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 9:33 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 27, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Daniel Sprong (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Sprong1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2131717427
NJDNJD0807111126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:14
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:33

2nd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.28win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    9:56

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    9:16
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.07
    4-1
    13:18

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:12NJDDamon Severson · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

3rd

  • 3:47NJDRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 11:37WSHCarl Hagelin · Hookingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 14:36NJDAndreas Johnsson · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 14:36WSHDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 18:47NJDMason Geertsen · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 1st 9:33 — WSH 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.17P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.16Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.14D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08M. Geertsen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kuokkanen · Goal · xG 0.07J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geertsen · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.24 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.84 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH62%38%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
13
12
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+120.20110—25:30
42M. FehérváryD000010.04430—20:34
8A. OvechkinL022+230.66000—19:50
92E. KuznetsovC112+230.460003618:29
9D. OrlovD101+230.14012—18:24
43T. WilsonR011+110.02000—18:19
2J. SchultzD000+110.02020—17:36
57T. van RiemsdykD011+100.00120—17:36
3N. JensenD000+300.02040—17:02
20L. EllerC000+200.082106716:23
77T. OshieR000010.130007516:12
26N. DowdC000000.090006014:01
39A. ManthaR101+210.21100—13:59
73C. ShearyL000030.32000—13:49
21G. HathawayR000030.1210010013:15
62C. HagelinL000010.1012210012:46
24C. McMichaelL000020.260005011:20
10D. SprongR112+320.31000—11:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)26251.9622.45+1.4560:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).