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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV TNT, TVAS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Blues answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 9:49 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 38, VGK 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Robin Lehner (35 saves, .946), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Lehner35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01611428338
VGKVGK117014012143

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(1)
    R. Smith (2), A. Martinez (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:17

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(1)
    D. Perron (1), R. O'Reilly (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:21

3rd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(1)
    J. Kyrou (5), B. Schenn (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +33 pts
    2-1
    9:49
  2. STL
    I. Barbashev(2)EN
    R. Thomas (3), C. Parayko (2)
    backhandxG 0.63win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:48

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:46VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

2nd

  • 11:01STLColton Parayko · Hookingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 11:42VGKAlec Martinez · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

3rd

  • 4:21VGKPeyton Krebs · Holdingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 7:05STLKlim Kostin · Trippingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 9:49 — STL 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.25W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.25C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.17B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.13W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.12A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.10N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
4.62 G
All situations
1 G3.0
3.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL66%34%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
38
Shots on goal
43
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+200.00032—25:29
72J. FaulkD000030.14200—22:59
47T. KrugD000030.20120—21:20
6M. ScandellaD000+220.09410—20:51
18R. ThomasC011+100.000105818:30
90R. O'ReillyC011020.050006718:28
49I. BarbashevL101+151.261005017:34
91V. TarasenkoR101+170.92110—17:31
57D. PerronL011030.29200—17:26
10B. SchennC011+210.054006017:22
20B. SaadL101040.62100—16:45
25J. KyrouR011+130.32000—14:33
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00500—12:50
46J. WalmanD000000.00130—11:42
81J. NealL000010.18400—11:28
21T. BozakC000010.240002010:55
37K. KostinC000030.22502010:16
63J. NeighboursL000000.00010—10:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)43421.9773.05+2.0560:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).