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Kings at Predators
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV BSW, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Kings scored first; the Predators answered. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Jeannot's goal at 5:06 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were LAK 26, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (25 saves, .962), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G), 3. Tanner Jeannot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0711009126
NSHNSH01301028231

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(5)
    D. Brown (2), D. Doughty (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    4:38

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(1)PPG
    M. Granlund (3), R. Josi (1)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    1:07
  2. NSH
    T. Jeannot(1)
    C. Sissons (1), A. Carrier (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:06

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:51LAKMatt Roy · Interferencedrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min

2nd

  • 10:01NSHTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Bjornfot2 min
  • 19:41LAKDrew Doughty · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Filip Forsberg0 min
  • 20:00LAKSean Walker · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

3rd

  • 10:21NSHRyan Johansen · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalLAK goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot, 3rd 5:06 — NSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.31F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.31M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.30M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.28R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.19R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.17T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.16N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.13E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.11C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.10R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.03T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNSH
1.51 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK23%77%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
31
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+120.04000—24:03
11A. KopitarC101030.070303021:37
26S. WalkerD000-130.05312—20:43
23D. BrownR011030.08100—20:14
24P. DanaultC000000.001005820:03
19A. IafalloL000+130.35210—19:30
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.2103010019:16
44M. AndersonD000+100.02110—19:03
2A. EdlerD000-100.00120—19:01
9A. KempeR000020.123105018:42
3M. RoyD000010.01112—16:16
7T. BjornfotD000000.00030—15:08
13G. VilardiC000010.10010011:43
46B. LizotteC000000.020005711:41
21V. TkachevL000010.06100—10:53
91C. GrundstromR000030.21100—10:43
12T. MooreL000000.00110—10:36
89R. KupariC000020.16000009:43
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)31292.9353.09+1.0957:58

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).