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Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. The Sharks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 3:25 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 54% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 23, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jasper Weatherby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrew Cogliano (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Weatherby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Cogliano1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1101617323
SJSSJS06211214431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:20

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:09
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:38
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    13:17

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    3:25
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:02
  3. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    3-4
    13:28

Penalties

WPG 17 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 18:29SJSKevin Labanc · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 19:37WPGNeal Pionk · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 3:23SJSWilliam Eklund · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 6:44WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 6:44SJSJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 6:44WPGAdam Lowry · Boardingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
  • 11:59WPGJosh Morrissey · Holding the stickdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

3rd

  • 1:38WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Elbowingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 5:02SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 5:02WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 5:02WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 10:38SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWPG goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 3:25 — SJS 54% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.13J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Weatherby · Goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dahlen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Pederson · Missed · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSJS
1.63 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG29%71%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSJS
23
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
2/5
17
Penalty minutes
13
26
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
21
7
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26B. WheelerR000-110.08210—21:20
44J. MorrisseyD011+110.03312—21:13
4N. PionkD011-110.03424—20:36
88N. SchmidtD000010.06120—20:10
9A. CoppC101+210.131005020:00
5B. DillonD011010.00530—19:53
55M. ScheifeleC000-220.351024419:52
81K. ConnorL000-220.13200—19:16
27N. EhlersL000+120.12000—19:01
80P. DuboisC101040.460223018:42
2D. DeMeloD000+110.01020—17:36
64L. StanleyD011+220.05515—16:21
17A. LowryC011+200.000024514:04
25P. StastnyC000000.000003313:55
12J. HarkinsC101+120.051005008:37
91C. PerfettiC000-110.00000008:02
20R. NashC000010.030005007:43
93K. VesalainenL000+100.00100—06:22
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)31274.8712.69-1.3158:12

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).