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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The Kings scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Rask's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 30, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Talbot (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01231206330
LAKLAK01111119231

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:23
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:17
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:55
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:52

3rd period

  1. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    7:28

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:13MINJon Merrill · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 8:47LAKViktor Arvidsson · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 4:29MINMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 4:29MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 4:29LAKAlex Iafallo · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 8:46MINMarcus Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 11:27MINNick Bjugstad · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Rask, 2nd 11:55 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.24A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tkachev · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.23 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
30
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000000.00210—23:35
46J. SpurgeonD000010.05210—20:19
24M. DumbaD000020.14234—20:04
29D. KulikovD011+220.07020—19:39
47A. GoligoskiD000010.01020—19:05
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.341104718:11
4J. MerrillD000+200.00132—16:54
17M. FolignoL011000.05302—15:57
36M. ZuccarelloR000+120.0320010015:43
7N. SturmC000020.0511010015:33
97K. KaprizovL011+110.08300—15:21
38R. HartmanR101050.290005015:04
21B. DuhaimeL000030.29400—13:56
22K. FialaL011+110.08000—13:56
89F. GaudreauC101+120.371004013:23
27N. BjugstadC000020.072123313:18
18J. GreenwayL011000.01000—12:20
49V. RaskC101+230.251001710:48
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)31292.9352.54+0.5460:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).