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Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins

FinalTV BSSW, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 4:43 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 28, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 37 of 39 (.949); Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Jake DeBrusk (1 G), 3. Jeremy Swayman (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0519014128
BOSBOS117011212340

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:38

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:15

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +26 pts
    1-2
    4:43
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.93win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    18:23

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·BOS 14 PIM

1st

  • 9:35DALRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 10:58BOSCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Andrej Sekera2 min
  • 17:38DALRyan Suter · Ps holding stick on breakawaydrawn by Brad Marchand0 min
  • 19:08BOSCharlie McAvoy · Delaying game smothering puck2 min

2nd

  • 4:51DALJacob Peterson · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 11:29DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 12:40BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 14:30BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

3rd

  • 11:12BOSNick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 14:25DALRoope Hintz · Hookingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 14:25BOSserved by K. Kuhlman · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:21BOSMike Reilly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalDAL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 4:43 — BOS 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.93B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.30J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.16C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsBOS
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
40
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/6
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
33
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000010.10110—28:21
20R. SuterD000-140.19002—23:35
23E. LindellD000+150.09210—23:32
14J. BennL000-130.242027619:31
91T. SeguinC000-110.042203319:22
16J. PavelskiC000-110.013004317:41
12R. FaksaC000010.142103317:35
40J. PetersonC000-120.28102016:05
47A. RadulovR000-210.13310—15:59
5A. SekeraD000000.00110—14:44
24R. HintzC000-130.261222214:29
2J. HakanpääD000-100.02200—14:11
34D. GurianovR000020.15000—13:54
18M. RafflL000010.0631010012:58
44J. HanleyD000-100.00210—12:32
11L. GlendeningC101+120.274006710:58
25J. KivirantaL000+110.06400—09:27
64T. KeroC011+100.0000010008:51
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)39372.9492.34+0.3458:15

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).