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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 9:13. The Jets came back from three goals down. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 9:13 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were EDM 48, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.9 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 44 of 48 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 2. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM21711311107448
WPGWPG0711131217537

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(1)
    S. Koekkoek (1), C. McDavid (1)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:33
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(2)PPG
    K. Yamamoto (1), C. McDavid (2)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    9:10

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(1)PPG
    P. Dubois (1), N. Pionk (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:13
  2. EDM
    Z. Kassian(1)
    L. Draisaitl (1), C. McDavid (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    18:17

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Khaira(1)
    A. Larsson (1), D. Shore (1)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    4:43
  2. WPG
    M. Perreault(1)PPG
    A. Copp (2), P. Dubois (2)
    slapxG 0.26win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    11:41
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(2)
    J. Morrissey (1), M. Scheifele (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    14:28
  4. WPG
    J. Morrissey(1)
    A. Lowry (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +39 pts
    4-4
    14:44

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(2)
    P. Stastny (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +48 pts
    4-5
    9:13

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:45WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 8:59WPGNate Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 8:10EDMJujhar Khaira · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:56EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

3rd

  • 5:28WPGDylan DeMelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:11EDMJosh Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 9:13 — WPG 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.30P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.27M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.26B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.20B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.18M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.15A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
4.64 G
All situations
5 G3.2
3.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 113 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM71%29%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.50 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
48
Shots on goal
37
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
47
20
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000010.18102—31:18
29L. DraisaitlC213+160.953204228:00
74E. BearD000-140.12020—26:00
97C. McDavidC033+140.421204525:52
6A. LarssonD011-110.05130—22:11
13J. PuljujarviR000-140.57320—21:55
70D. KulikovD000-120.02010—20:09
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000060.553108019:54
22T. BarrieD000+140.11120—19:37
16J. KhairaL101-130.107022516:46
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.00502—16:35
44Z. KassianR101+220.60310—16:14
20S. KoekkoekD011+210.09010—14:47
71R. McLeodC000020.180001714:28
14D. ShoreC011-130.13300013:40
56K. YamamotoR011030.34110—12:24
91G. HaasC000010.100102911:28
63T. EnnisR000010.15010—11:00
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)37325.8653.15-1.8569:13

Series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).