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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Nashville Predators
▸4
Final/2OTTV NBCSN, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in double overtime, Luke Kunin scoring at 16:10. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Kunin's goal at 16:10 of the second overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.7 to 3.5; shots on goal were CAR 61, NSH 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 39 of 43 (.907); Juuse Saros stopped 58 of 61 (.951), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Kunin (2 G), 2. Brock McGinn (2 G), 3. Juuse Saros (58 saves, .951).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Kunin2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. McGinn2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros58 saves, .951

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR11711511207010361
NSHNSH151911201116443

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(1)
    M. Granlund (1), R. Ellis (3)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:57
  2. CAR
    V. Trocheck(2)
    M. Necas (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:03

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(2)
    M. Duchene (2), M. Ekholm (2)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:53
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(1)
    S. Lorentz (2), J. Martinook (1)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    18:05

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(2)
    J. Martinook (2), J. Staal (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    0:13
  2. NSH
    N. Cousins(1)PPG
    E. Haula (2), M. Ekholm (3)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    3:15

2OT overtime

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(2)
    M. Granlund (2), C. Jarnkrok (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    16:10

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:39NSHBen Harpur · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 7:39CARNino Niederreiter · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:19NSHMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 14:33NSHColton Sissons · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

2nd

  • 9:24NSHErik Haula · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

3rd

  • 1:42CARDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 5:15CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

OT

  • 4:01NSHNick Cousins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Kunin, 2OT 16:10 — NSH 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.21Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.20L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.18M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.15L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
4.73 G
All situations
4 G3.5
4.03 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 155 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR66%34%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.53 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
61
Shots on goal
43
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
31
16
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000-130.13210—40:16
76B. SkjeiD000+150.20130—39:02
19D. HamiltonD000070.30312—33:28
20S. AhoC000-140.960207131:39
37A. SvechnikovR000-160.43102—30:09
86T. TeravainenC000-140.200006729:23
24J. BeanD000-110.08000—27:03
11J. StaalC011+130.162005926:53
58J. HakanpääD000050.06530—26:13
16V. TrocheckC101050.771104125:21
88M. NecasC011+120.192105022:46
48J. MartinookL022010.02510—21:44
71J. FastR000030.21400—21:26
21N. NiederreiterR000+140.47202—21:21
23B. McGinnL202040.11300—21:20
78S. LorentzC011000.131203920:22
13W. FoegeleL000030.19000—19:30
42M. LajoieD000+110.05100—18:02
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)43394.9073.51-0.4995:29

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).