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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 6:38 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 5% to 19%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 33, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (3 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD09112212333
NYRNYR3161727630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:26
  2. NYR
    R. Strome(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:27
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    11:48

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    0:32
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    12:37

3rd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    5:34
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    6:38
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:39
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.66
    3-6
    19:38

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:06NJDDamon Severson · Holdingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 9:52NJDserved by N. Merkley · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:00NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 17:00NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 17:00NJDNathan Bastian · Boardingdrawn by Libor Hajek2 min

2nd

  • 7:17NYRColin Blackwell · Hookingdrawn by Nick Merkley2 min
  • 18:22NYRK'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:07NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 5:07NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 14:05NYRColin Blackwell · Slashingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 6:38 — NJD 5% → 19%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.66P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.52A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.17C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.16F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
2.73 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD61%39%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
30
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24T. SmithD000020.18100—23:06
76P. SubbanD112-140.18130—22:06
28D. SeversonD000030.04122—21:36
86J. HughesC022060.521105820:50
13N. HischierC000-110.113107020:38
17Y. SharangovichC112020.23100020:19
22R. MurrayD000-100.01100—18:12
11A. JohnssonL000010.03100—17:59
59J. KuokkanenC000-220.27000016:29
71J. SiegenthalerD000010.03210—16:28
20M. McLeodC101-230.443004315:11
7M. TennysonD000000.00130—14:38
44M. WoodL000-120.17112—13:43
39N. MerkleyR000020.11100—13:26
14N. BastianR011-100.13414—11:11
23M. MaltsevL000020.120005010:40
90J. BoqvistC000010.163005009:08
67M. StudenicR000010.00100—08:23
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47A. Dell(L)28244.8572.10-1.9058:40

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).