Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Seth Jones scoring at 4:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 4:09 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 28, CAR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 3. Joonas Korpisalo (25 saves, .926).
Three stars
- ★S. Jones2 G

- ★★S. Aho2 G

- ★★★J. Korpisalo25 saves, .926

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-014:11
2nd period
1-10:51
1-212:20
2-217:50
Overtime
3-24:09
Penalties
1st
- 1:24
Max Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
2nd
- 4:38
Nick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
- 11:09
Stefan Matteau · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
- 15:46
Brett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Seth Jones, OT 4:09 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.8
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.6
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 32
- Hits
- 24
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 11
- Giveaways
- 9
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
