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Sharks at Golden Knights
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, NBCSCA·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Hague's goal at 10:03 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 19% to 44%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 33, VGK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Reaves (1 G), 3. Alec Martinez (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Reaves1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Martinez1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS01131616433
VGKVGK110011416537

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(5)
    M. Pacioretty (14)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:45

2nd period

  1. SJS
    M. Nieto(5)
    T. Meier (13), T. Hertl (8)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:21
  2. SJS
    M. Ferraro(1)
    J. Leonard (5), E. Kane (13)
    snapxG 0.39win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:57
  3. SJS
    K. Labanc(8)
    E. Kane (14), M. Ferraro (9)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    15:07

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Glass(4)PPG
    S. Theodore (16), M. Stone (24)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    6:43
  2. VGK
    N. Hague(3)
    J. Marchessault (12), W. Karlsson (13)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    10:03
  3. VGK
    R. Reaves(1)
    T. Nosek (2), Z. Whitecloud (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    12:27
  4. VGK
    A. Martinez(3)PPG
    T. Nosek (3), S. Theodore (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    14:46
  5. SJS
    E. Kane(12)PPG
    E. Karlsson (8), T. Hertl (9)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +11 pts
    4-5
    15:54

Penalties

SJS 20 PIM·VGK 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:41SJSFredrik Handemark · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 10:34VGKNicolas Roy · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 13:23SJSKevin Labanc · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:45SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 8:37VGKBrayden McNabb · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 6:38SJSserved by J. Leonard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:11VGKMark Stone · Fightingdrawn by Tomas Hertl5 min
  • 7:11SJSTomas Hertl · Fightingdrawn by Mark Stone5 min
  • 10:58VGKJonathan Marchessault · Fightingdrawn by Logan Couture5 min
  • 10:58SJSLogan Couture · Fightingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault5 min
  • 12:53SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 15:16VGKKeegan Kolesar · Hookingdrawn by Nikolai Knyzhov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSJS goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Hague, 3rd 10:03 — VGK 19% → 44%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.12A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.10A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jurco · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsVGK
3.24 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
1.01 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS62%38%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsVGK
33
Shots on goal
37
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
2/5
20
Penalty minutes
16
29
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
3
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000+300.00010—24:34
9E. KaneL123+150.39400—24:07
65E. KarlssonD011-310.05000—21:39
39L. CoutureC000+130.182056420:14
38M. FerraroD112+330.42430—19:46
62K. LabancR101+140.43104—19:01
48T. HertlC022010.032154717:36
83M. NietoL101-120.14110—17:22
71N. KnyzhovD000-300.00112—17:12
51R. SimekD000010.01210—16:24
7D. GambrellC000020.181203516:10
44M. VlasicD000000.00040—16:10
28T. MeierR011010.13500—13:32
12P. MarleauC000+100.0010010013:21
43J. LeonardL011+130.37000—10:50
16R. DonatoC000-260.82000010:23
37F. HandemarkC000-110.082022008:27
29K. GabrielR000-100.00320—07:27
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)37325.8652.48-2.5258:27

Season series

VGK leads 8-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).