St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Adrian Kempe scoring at 1:45. The Kings came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 1:45 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 25, LAK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G), 3. Brayden Schenn (2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Kopitar2 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Kempe1 G

- ★★★B. Schenn2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-00:25
2-04:38
3-011:05
3-113:08
2nd period
3-218:09
3-319:49
Overtime
3-41:45
Penalties
1st
- 10:49
Rasmus Kupari · Hookingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
2nd
- 8:05
Torey Krug · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
- 17:34
Nathan Walker · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
3rd
- 3:28
Mackenzie MacEachern · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
- 4:33
Drew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Adrian Kempe, OT 1:45 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.23 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.5
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.49
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 16
- Hits
- 18
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 2
- 1
- Giveaways
- 5
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
LAK leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
