Ducks at Kings 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

▸3

Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, KCOP-13·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Arthur Kaliyev's goal at 5:32 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 19% to 36%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were ANA 43, LAK 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. John Gibson stopped 20 of 21 (.952); Cal Petersen stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Petersen (40 saves, .952), 2. David Backes (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

★
C. Petersen40 saves, .952
★★
D. Backes1 G
★★★
D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	115	118	110	343
LAK	04	17	010	121

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

D. Heinen(3)
J. Silfverberg (2), S. Steel (3)
wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
1-0
10:07

2nd period

D. Backes(1)
C. Rowney (5), N. Deslauriers (2)
wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
2-0
0:17
A. Kaliyev(1)
M. Amadio (2), D. Doughty (4)
wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
2-1
5:32

3rd period

N. Deslauriers(3)EN
Unassisted
wristxG 0.71win prob +3 pts
3-1
19:14

Penalties

7 PIM·

7 PIM

1st

0:03Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
0:03Nicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min

3rd

1:01Hampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
3:17served by L. Andersson · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: LAK

Biggest swing: Arthur Kaliyev, 2nd 5:32 — LAK 19% → 36%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.5 xG · 24 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 4.5 xG · 59 att LAK

1 G · 1.5 xG · 24 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

4.52 G
All situations: 1 G1.5; 3.52 G
Even strength: 1 G1.1; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

85%15%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

43
Shots on goal: 21; 55%
Faceoffs: 45%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 7
Penalty minutes: 7; 20
Hits: 22; 8
Blocked shots: 11; 2
Giveaways: 13; 2
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD	0	0	0	+1	5	0.15	1	2	0	—	21:56
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	+2	3	0.07	0	0	2	—	21:40
4C. FowlerD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	0	0	—	20:48
28J. HakanpääD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	5	0	0	—	19:07
7B. HuttonD	0	0	0	0	5	0.51	3	0	0	—	18:32
67R. RakellR	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	—	17:47
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	2	0	0	17:26
32J. LarssonD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	17:26
23S. SteelC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	62	17:17
15R. GetzlafC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	1	0	0	33	17:16
33J. SilfverbergR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	—	17:11
43D. HeinenL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	0	1	0	—	14:54
24C. RowneyC	0	1	1	0	2	0.32	4	1	0	0	14:42
21D. BackesR	1	0	1	+1	8	0.71	1	0	0	63	13:56
53M. ComtoisL	0	0	0	0	3	0.45	2	0	0	—	13:56
61T. TerryR	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	0	0	0	—	12:05
48I. LundestromC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	60	11:35
20N. DeslauriersL	1	1	2	+1	1	0.71	0	0	5	—	10:27

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(W)	21	20	1	.952	1.45	+0.45	59:59

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

3rd

Box score