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Canucks at Golden Knights
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 18:35 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were VAN 27, VGK 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Toffoli1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN2817212527
VGKVGK06122112240

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Toffoli(1)
    E. Pettersson (10), Q. Hughes (10)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:29
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(7)PPG
    T. Toffoli (1), E. Pettersson (11)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    10:59

2nd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(6)
    N. Roy (4), S. Theodore (6)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:34
  2. VAN
    E. Pettersson(5)
    A. Edler (5), T. Toffoli (2)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    18:35

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(8)
    B. Boeser (6), A. Edler (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    0:18
  2. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(3)PPG
    S. Theodore (7), P. Stastny (2)
    slapxG 0.05
    4-2
    18:34
  3. VAN
    T. Pearson(4)EN
    J. Miller (6)
    wristxG 0.92
    5-2
    19:30

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·VGK 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:52VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 11:16VGKReilly Smith · Boardingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

2nd

  • 0:18VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 7:22VANBrock Boeser · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:22VGKWilliam Carrier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 6:42VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 10:03VGKMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 14:28VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 14:28VGKAlex Tuch · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 14:28VGKAlex Tuch · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 17:10VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalVAN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 2nd 18:35 — VAN 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.28M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.20N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.20J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.15P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.14B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.13M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsVGK
4.14 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN45%55%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
40
66%
Faceoffs
34%
1/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
31
Hits
38
40
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD022+430.14244—24:41
9J. MillerC011+210.333225020:07
8C. TanevD000020.03160—19:56
51T. StecherD000+330.12230—19:48
53B. HorvatC202+250.680308119:03
43Q. HughesD011-100.00010—17:51
70T. PearsonL101+231.14220—17:25
64T. MotteC000010.00610016:52
40E. PetterssonC123+130.651205016:51
5O. FantenbergD000000.00110—16:44
83J. BeagleC000000.001506916:38
20B. SutterC000010.121404316:14
4J. BennD000000.01230—15:45
73T. ToffoliC123+130.56010014:35
6B. BoeserR011+110.22102—14:07
88A. GaudetteR000000.0520010009:59
18J. VirtanenR000000.00412—09:51
26A. RousselL000010.01210—06:32
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)40382.9503.51+1.5159:37

Series

VGK leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).