Hurricanes at Bruins 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes

Boston Bruins

▸2

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 15:20 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 24, BOS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (2 A).

Three stars

★
P. Bergeron1 G, 1 A
★★
D. Krejci1 G, 1 A
★★★
D. Pastrnak2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	18	010	06	124
BOS	09	213	05	227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

H. Fleury(2)
S. Aho (9), J. Martinook (1)
wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
1-0
9:35

2nd period

D. Krejci(3)PPG
D. Pastrnak (2), P. Bergeron (4)
wristxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
1-1
15:20
P. Bergeron(2)PPG
D. Pastrnak (3), D. Krejci (6)
wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
1-2
19:56

Penalties

8 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

15:15Charlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

1:49David Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
13:47Sebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
19:10Jordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

3rd

0:44Warren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
3:18Joakim Nordstrom · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min
7:58Justin Williams · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: BOS

100%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 2nd 15:20 — BOS 34% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att BOS

2 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 2 G2.1; 1.61 G
Even strength: 0 G0.8; 1.10 G
Power play: 2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

59%41%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 27; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 0/3
Power play: 2/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 6; 33
Hits: 27; 10
Blocked shots: 17; 7
Giveaways: 10; 7
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Carolina Hurricanes skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
74J. SlavinD	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	—	25:09
19D. HamiltonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	—	23:29
20S. AhoC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.22	0	1	2	40	23:15
86T. TeravainenC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	100	22:58
76B. SkjeiD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	1	0	—	21:35
16V. TrocheckC	0	0	0	0	4	0.60	1	0	0	75	19:41
45S. VatanenD	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	1	0	—	19:00
14J. WilliamsR	0	0	0	0	5	0.72	1	0	2	100	17:40
11J. StaalC	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	6	0	0	53	15:48
48J. MartinookL	0	1	1	+1	0	0.17	4	0	2	—	15:45
18R. DzingelC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	0	15:07
23B. McGinnL	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	5	0	0	—	14:57
4H. FleuryD	1	0	1	+1	3	0.06	1	3	0	—	13:29
13W. FoegeleL	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	2	—	12:12
51J. GardinerD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	1	0	0	—	11:44
88M. NecasC	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	67	08:49
21N. NiederreiterR	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	—	08:13
43M. GeekieC	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	1	0	33	07:04

Carolina Hurricanes goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
34P. Mrazek(L)	27	25	2	.926	2.07	+0.07	57:46

Series

BOS leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score