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Wild at Canucks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV NHL.TV, USA·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 3:01 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, VAN 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 35, VAN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN19010216335
VANVAN11021018428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(1)
    B. Horvat (1), A. Edler (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:24
  2. MIN
    L. Kunin(1)SHG
    Z. Parise (1), R. Suter (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:16

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:01
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(1)
    E. Pettersson (1), A. Edler (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:42

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(1)PPG
    Q. Hughes (1), J. Miller (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    6:22
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(2)
    E. Staal (3), Z. Parise (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    17:31
  3. MIN
    K. Fiala(3)
    M. Dumba (1), E. Staal (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    3-4
    19:51

Penalties

MIN 16 PIM·VAN 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:43VANBrock Boeser · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 4:31VANTroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 7:27MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 13:28MINMikko Koivu · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 15:32MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min

2nd

  • 0:43VANTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 9:18VANChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 14:27MINRyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 20:00VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 20:00MINJared Spurgeon · Interferencedrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min

3rd

  • 3:05MINAlex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 5:03MINBrad Hunt · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 11:07VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 13:26VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:00MINKevin Fiala · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMIN goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 3:01 — VAN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.19B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.03O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01
VAN4 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVAN
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G0.9
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVAN
35
Shots on goal
28
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/6
Power play
1/7
16
Penalty minutes
14
37
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011020.03400—25:41
24M. DumbaD011040.16020—24:32
46J. SpurgeonD000010.12202—22:41
25J. BrodinD000040.10100—20:55
11Z. PariseL022+120.273003319:10
22K. FialaL202+260.4230210018:23
12E. StaalC022+120.140102618:16
19L. KuninC101-120.154005015:18
36M. ZuccarelloR000000.00200—14:09
27A. GalchenyukC000-110.033025014:01
17M. FolignoL000-120.11410—13:49
14J. Eriksson EkC000-120.242003613:33
18J. GreenwayL000010.10304—13:01
77B. HuntD000040.07032—12:59
21C. SoucyD000010.15210—12:56
38R. HartmanR000000.003105010:19
9M. KoivuC000010.060125509:54
6R. DonatoC000+100.00102007:03
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)28244.8572.37-1.6358:01

Series

VAN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).