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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
St. Louis Blues
4
FinalTV NHL.TV, NHLN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 6-4. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 12:31 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were VGK 38, STL 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (2 G), 2. Shea Theodore (2 G), 3. Colton Parayko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Tuch2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Parayko2 G

Line score

Final
Goals by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0336
STLSTL1304

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(2)
    Z. Sanford (1), R. O'Reilly (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:02

2nd period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(1)
    B. Schenn (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:45
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(1)PPG
    M. Stone (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    6:50
  3. VGK
    A. Tuch(1)
    T. Nosek (1), N. Holden (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:47
  4. VGK
    A. Tuch(2)PPG
    R. Smith (2), N. Cousins (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    13:13
  5. STL
    C. Parayko(2)
    R. O'Reilly (3), Z. Sanford (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.19win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:07
  6. STL
    T. Brouwer(1)
    T. Bozak (1)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    14:28

3rd period

  1. VGK
    Z. Whitecloud(1)
    N. Roy (2), N. Cousins (3)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    2:01
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(2)
    B. McNabb (1), N. Schmidt (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +36 pts
    5-4
    12:31
  3. VGK
    S. Theodore(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    6-4
    14:49

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 12:23STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:07STLTroy Brouwer · Roughingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 16:07VGKNate Schmidt · Roughingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min

2nd

  • 5:20STLAlexander Steen · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 6:50STLserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:25VGKJonathan Marchessault · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 11:40STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

3rd

  • 3:01STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:40VGKPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 15:56VGKWilliam Carrier · Slashingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 3rd 12:31 — VGK 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.21C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.19C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.19A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.15D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.13T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.11V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 1.9 xG · 21 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
4.46 G
All situations
4 G1.9
3.04 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK86%14%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.41 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. MartinezD000-110.22100—24:47
27S. TheodoreD202-170.26010—23:15
88N. SchmidtD011040.08102—23:06
61M. StoneR112030.32010—20:13
71W. KarlssonC000+110.051102320:10
3B. McNabbD011010.04230—20:10
20C. StephensonC000030.54100018:16
19R. SmithR011020.24000—17:40
26P. StastnyC000-140.940023117:07
81J. MarchessaultR000+110.11102—16:59
89A. TuchR202+130.98000—14:54
2Z. WhitecloudD101+110.09510—13:45
10N. RoyC011-110.181004512:26
21N. CousinsC022-110.114001712:09
92T. NosekL011+110.043003610:47
22N. HoldenD011+130.07400—10:02
75R. ReavesR000-100.00400—08:18
28W. CarrierL000010.14202—07:51
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)17134.7651.95-2.0560:00

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).