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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 19:59 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 57% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 32, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (31 saves, .969), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington36 saves, .947

Line score

Final
Goals by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1001
COLCOL0022

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(1)PPG
    B. Schenn (1), R. O'Reilly (1)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    16:46

3rd period

  1. COL
    R. Graves(1)
    M. Rantanen (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    5:33
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(1)PPG
    G. Landeskog (1), N. MacKinnon (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +43 pts
    1-2
    19:59

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:53STLAlex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 16:27COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

2nd

  • 1:52COLGabriel Landeskog · Boardingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 5:37COLNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 7:35STLJaden Schwartz · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 13:18STLCarl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 19:53STLCarl Gunnarsson · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 13:20COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 18:43STLAlexander Steen · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 19:59 — COL 57% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.28N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16R. Graves · Goal · xG 0.15N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.13M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.11 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL33%67%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-120.05460—21:59
90R. O'ReillyC011030.110006721:28
72J. FaulkD000030.08500—21:26
27A. PietrangeloD000030.07112—21:25
6M. ScandellaD000-100.00200—19:24
57D. PerronL101030.38200—17:16
21T. BozakC000040.320103816:35
4C. GunnarssonD000010.19214—15:03
12Z. SanfordL000010.03320—15:02
29V. DunnD000010.13200—14:49
18R. ThomasC000020.080004014:24
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.07010—14:10
17J. SchwartzL000-110.16102—14:04
10B. SchennC011-100.071001313:32
20A. SteenL000000.00102—13:18
9S. BlaisL000010.12700—12:59
70O. SundqvistC000030.101107512:24
49I. BarbashevL000020.0971010011:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)38362.9473.03+1.0359:25

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).