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Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Kings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Frk's goal at 15:19 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 26, LAK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Cal Petersen stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Roy (1 A), 3. Martin Frk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    G. Vilardi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    M. Roy1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    M. Frk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1100818226
LAKLAK113011215339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk (23), C. White (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:29
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe (21), B. Hutton (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:09

3rd period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:57
  2. LAK
    S. Walker (19), M. Roy (14)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    9:12
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    15:19

Penalties

OTT 13 PIM·LAK 9 PIM

1st

  • 11:24OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:19OTTNikita Zaitsev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:08OTTColin White · Fightingdrawn by Austin Wagner5 min
  • 18:08LAKAustin Wagner · Fightingdrawn by Colin White5 min

2nd

  • 3:44LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 3:23LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:16OTTNikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 13:14OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalOTT goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Frk, 3rd 15:19 — LAK 53% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.59D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.51A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.23T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.19D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.14M. Frk · Goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08T. Lewis · Goal · xG 0.08B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 4.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsLAK
2.12 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT36%64%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
39
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-130.24012—23:42
81R. HainseyD000000.00020—20:29
22N. ZaitsevD000010.01124—19:54
86C. WolaninD000+110.08020—19:20
39A. EnglundD011000.01130—18:19
5M. ReillyD000-130.09000—17:55
28C. BrownR000-230.200002517:37
7B. TkachukL011+110.108005017:25
71C. TierneyC000-220.290104716:56
9B. RyanR101+110.08300—15:20
36C. WhiteC011+130.401055014:47
13N. PaulL011+110.022007714:04
89M. BoedkerL000020.24000—13:58
10A. DuclairL000+100.00020—13:46
38R. BalcersL000-130.18210—13:38
53M. PecaC000010.001005013:35
79J. HawrylukR101+110.200005012:46
49S. SabourinR000000.01220—10:14
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)39363.9232.94-0.0657:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).