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Panthers at Blues
NHL

Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸2
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV NHLN, FS-F·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Blues scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 4:23 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.3, STL 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 34, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Brett Connolly (1 G), 2. Mike Hoffman (1 G), 3. Robert Thomas (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Connolly1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01111617234
STLSTL0111709127

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(10)
    R. Thomas (32)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    11:20
  2. FLA
    M. Hoffman(29)PPG
    A. Saarela (1), E. Dadonov (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    16:12

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Connolly(19)
    A. Saarela (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:23

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:59FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 14:46STLMarco Scandella · Slashingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min

3rd

  • 15:26FLAAnton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalFLA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Connolly, 3rd 4:23 — FLA 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.17A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.16O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.14T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01
STL1 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSTL
2.32 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
6
23
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
10
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+110.16030—24:45
52M. WeegarD000+140.26352—24:38
19M. MathesonD000-110.10020—21:37
6A. StralmanD000-100.00032—21:20
56E. HaulaL000-130.210004717:50
16A. BarkovC000010.011206917:08
55N. AcciariC000020.080303516:20
11J. HuberdeauL000-130.06100—15:06
68M. HoffmanC101-120.1601010015:05
71L. WallmarkC000+110.150005414:57
77F. VatranoR000020.06110—14:51
63E. DadonovL011010.09000—14:30
7C. SceviourC000020.14110013:43
2J. BrownD000030.13300—13:41
28A. SaarelaC022+120.22010013:18
10B. ConnollyR101+120.24100—13:02
3K. YandleD000020.02000—12:46
13M. PysykD000020.17010—11:21
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(W)27261.9632.01+1.0160:00

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).