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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
2
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 2:13. The Oilers scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 2:13 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 48, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Mikko Koskinen stopped 45 of 48 (.938), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (45 saves, .938), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen45 saves, .938
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK11501511612348
EDMEDM130111901224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(11)
    J. Neal (12), O. Klefbom (29)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:00
  2. VGK
    N. Roy(5)PPG
    N. Schmidt (24), A. Martinez (13)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    16:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(22)
    K. Yamamoto (14)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:46
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(22)
    R. Smith (27)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:57

Overtime

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(13)
    J. Marchessault (25)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:13

Penalties

VGK 0 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:02EDMOscar Klefbom · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

3rd

  • 7:18EDMAlex Chiasson · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, OT 2:13 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.17K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.16J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.16E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.15T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.14J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.10A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
4.73 G
All situations
2 G2.0
3.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK87%13%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.61 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
48
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
46
15
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD101050.35030—24:15
23A. MartinezD011-100.02140—23:29
88N. SchmidtD011020.27000—22:50
67M. PaciorettyL000070.77300—21:58
71W. KarlssonC000+160.831008921:33
81J. MarchessaultR112+260.51210—19:55
3B. McNabbD000040.09210—19:27
26P. StastnyC000+150.680002518:48
10N. RoyC101040.380003818:19
19R. SmithR011010.18100—17:51
22N. HoldenD000000.00410—15:45
92T. NosekL000-140.331103813:57
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.00110—13:32
75R. ReavesR000-110.03920—13:24
21N. CousinsC000-130.211006013:18
28W. CarrierL000-100.04700—12:19
73B. PirriC000-100.0431010010:49
15J. MerrillD000000.00100—05:13
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)24222.9171.95-0.0562:10

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).