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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Namestnikov's goal at 8:41 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 24, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 2 A), 3. Joe Thornton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Thornton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1821016424
SJSSJS1717111325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    J. Thornton(7)PPG
    E. Kane (20), T. Meier (25)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:16
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(35)PPG
    G. Landeskog (20), J. Compher (19)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    16:17

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(21)
    N. MacKinnon (57), V. Namestnikov (14)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    1:59
  2. SJS
    M. Karlsson(6)
    M. Sorensen (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:41
  3. COL
    V. Namestnikov(16)
    G. Landeskog (21), N. MacKinnon (58)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    8:41

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(16)
    J. Compher (20), E. Johnson (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    15:27
  2. SJS
    N. Gregor(3)PPG
    T. Meier (26), K. Labanc (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    4-3
    19:16

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:33COLVladislav Kamenev · Interferencedrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 15:04SJSEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 19:40COLIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Joel Kellman2 min

2nd

  • 15:35SJSMelker Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 16:53SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 0:49SJSJoe Thornton · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 4:53COLVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Lean Bergmann2 min
  • 18:13COLIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov, 2nd 8:41 — COL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.29E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.19M. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.16N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kellman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.01T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.01T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL56%44%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
24
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
37
11
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD011+110.09310—23:53
27R. GravesD000+110.10140—22:50
49S. GirardD000+300.04100—22:22
92G. LandeskogL123+220.520005822:06
29N. MacKinnonC123+220.310006421:50
37J. CompherL022+120.290006519:59
28I. ColeD000030.25114—19:00
17T. JostC000+120.11110018:27
90V. NamestnikovC112+210.14322018:04
83M. NietoL000-110.10010—16:26
72J. DonskoiR101+110.07000—15:01
41P. BellemareL000-120.021006714:38
13V. NichushkinR000-150.40300—12:43
7K. ConnautonD000-100.02100—12:41
44M. BarberioD000000.00010—12:00
81V. KamenevC000000.002025008:14
25L. O'ConnorR000010.08200—07:23
15S. DriesC000000.00200006:37
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)25223.8802.20-0.8060:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).