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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 16:15 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 28, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nic Dowd (2 G, 1 A), 2. Richard Panik (1 G, 1 A), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Dowd2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    R. Panik1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH3120729528
PITPIT0607215228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(6)
    G. Hathaway (7), R. Panik (13)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:52
  2. WSH
    N. Backstrom(12)
    J. Vrana (27), T. Oshie (23)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:15
  3. WSH
    R. Panik(9)
    N. Jensen (8), N. Dowd (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    18:38

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(7)SHG
    C. Hagelin (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    0:34
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(16)
    C. Sheary (12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    5:09
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(22)PPG
    J. Zucker (21), S. Crosby (31)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    12:16
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(26)
    N. Backstrom (42)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    13:12

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:03PITSam Lafferty · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 2:03WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 6:37WSHBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 7:12WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 9:07WSHCarl Hagelin · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 15:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 16:02WSHTom Wilson · Holding the stickdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 16:02PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 18:48WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jared McCann0 min
  • 19:35WSHBrenden Dillon · Delaying game2 min

3rd

  • 10:34WSHDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, 1st 16:15 — WSH 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.34S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.24J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.16J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.16J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.06J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
2.45 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH43%57%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
6
45
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000010.09130—24:36
9D. OrlovD000+100.05002—21:19
4B. DillonD000-110.00114—20:36
3N. JensenD011+200.00340—20:11
20L. EllerC000020.266103816:38
8A. OvechkinL000+100.00710—16:34
43T. WilsonR000000.00712—16:10
77T. OshieR112+120.3131010015:48
6M. KempnyD000+310.03000—15:45
34J. SiegenthalerD000+320.00232—15:39
19N. BackstromC112+130.321004615:34
92E. KuznetsovC000000.004005014:58
62C. HagelinL011+120.02002—14:44
26N. DowdC213+340.403005014:26
17I. KovalchukL000010.16410—12:57
13J. VranaL011030.2300010011:24
21G. HathawayR011+240.40200—10:26
14R. PanikR112+220.15110—10:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)28262.9292.92+0.9260:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).