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Maple Leafs at Ducks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸2
FinalTV PRIME, TSN4·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 10:20 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 83% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were TOR 31, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Rowney (1 G), 2. John Gibson (26 saves, 1.000), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Rowney1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson26 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0808115131
ANAANA11301312228

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    C. Rowney(8)
    D. Backes (3), M. Del Zotto (12)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:17

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:20
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(30)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    1-2
    17:00

Penalties

TOR 9 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:38ANAJohn Gibson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 7:48TORJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
  • 14:40ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 14:40TORKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 18:38TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

3rd

  • 3:25ANADavid Backes · Boardingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 11:45ANAKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Calle Rosen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalTOR goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 3rd 10:20 — ANA 83% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.26S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.10D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.07M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.07M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.05M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.00M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsANA
3.31 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR64%36%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsANA
31
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
94T. BarrieD000+120.13010—24:43
34A. MatthewsC000040.501202923:03
16M. MarnerR000030.30102—22:26
91J. TavaresC000+150.610005721:18
88W. NylanderR101+150.65110—20:56
11Z. HymanL000010.033103320:53
23T. DermottD000-110.02300—20:27
3J. HollD000020.00012—19:51
48C. RosenD000-220.05010—17:42
24K. KapanenR000030.55000—16:18
15A. KerfootC000010.240203815:32
83C. CeciD000-100.00210—14:38
62D. MalginC000000.00300014:07
52M. MarincinD000010.05010—13:10
47P. EngvallL000000.01110—12:09
19J. SpezzaC000-110.100006708:29
73K. CliffordL000-100.06205—06:36
33F. GauthierC000-100.002002506:12
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)28262.9292.51+0.5157:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).