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Blues at Devils
NHL

St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FS-MW, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dakota Mermis's goal at 6:50 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were STL 33, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Cory Schneider stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cory Schneider (31 saves, .939), 2. Dakota Mermis (1 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    C. Schneider31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    NJD
    D. Mermis1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL19014110233
NJDNJD1821519432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(16)
    P. Subban (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:38
  2. STL
    V. Dunn(9)PPG
    T. Bozak (16), R. Thomas (31)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    12:31

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mermis(1)
    D. Severson (21), C. Schneider (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:50
  2. NJD
    C. Carrick(1)
    F. Claesson (1), T. Zajac (16)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:58

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Schwartz(22)
    B. Schenn (31)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    16:49
  2. NJD
    J. Anderson(4)EN
    P. Zacha (23), M. Mueller (5)
    snapxG 0.68win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:03

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:37NJDKevin Rooney · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 3:43STLZachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 10:37NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

2nd

  • 8:43STLColton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 12:09NJDMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 11:24NJDP.K. Subban · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalSTL goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Dakota Mermis, 2nd 6:50 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.68J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.28M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.20D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.19J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.15T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.13K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.09C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.09D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mermis · Goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD4 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNJD
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL55%45%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNJD
33
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
16
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-150.27100—23:47
55C. ParaykoD000-330.18422—23:39
57D. PerronL000030.55200—20:34
29V. DunnD101030.28000—19:39
17J. SchwartzL101+120.42100—19:37
90R. O'ReillyC000-120.130005419:03
6M. ScandellaD000-220.04210—18:18
10B. SchennC011010.060005017:48
4C. GunnarssonD000010.00040—17:08
18R. ThomasC011-200.000002917:06
12Z. SanfordL000-220.12212—16:49
21T. BozakC011-240.330003614:25
70O. SundqvistC000010.002003313:57
9S. BlaisL000-110.08410—12:42
41R. BortuzzoD000010.03200—11:21
49I. BarbashevL000-100.003102511:17
20A. SteenL000-110.24000—10:36
33J. KyrouR000-110.0201010009:07
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)31283.9032.52-0.4859:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).