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Penguins at Sabres
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 1:57 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 11% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 32, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 A), 2. Patric Hornqvist (2 G), 3. Matt Murray (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    M. Murray28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21613113432
BUFBUF19010111230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(16)
    N. Bjugstad (1), J. McCann (20)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:56
  2. BUF
    J. McCabe(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:01
  3. PIT
    M. Pettersson(2)
    B. Rust (27), E. Malkin (47)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:26

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(17)PPG
    E. Malkin (48), J. Schultz (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    13:32

3rd period

  1. BUF
    M. Johansson(9)
    D. Kahun (19), R. Dahlin (34)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:57
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(15)
    J. Zucker (20)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    6:02

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:56BUFserved by J. Vesey · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:29PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 12:31BUFJohan Larsson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Matt Murray2 min
  • 15:23BUFLawrence Pilut · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min
  • 15:56PITEvgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 7:31PITTeddy Blueger · High stickingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPIT goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 3rd 1:57 — BUF 11% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.29Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.18K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.14J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.07K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCabe · Goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02L. Pilut · Missed · xG 0.01L. Pilut · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF2 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBUF
3.34 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT43%57%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBUF
32
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. DumoulinD000+100.00110—24:16
58K. LetangD000+110.03002—24:04
16J. ZuckerL011-110.79100—20:41
6J. MarinoD000+100.01110—19:58
87S. CrosbyC101050.670004519:23
17B. RustR011000.00100—18:21
71E. MalkinC022040.320025416:56
4J. SchultzD011-110.03000—16:54
28M. PetterssonD101+230.06010—16:23
3J. JohnsonD000-110.01130—16:02
12P. MarleauC000+130.311105015:26
43C. ShearyL000+120.17000—14:31
72P. HornqvistR202+140.38010—13:01
13B. TanevL000010.21100—12:41
53T. BluegerC000-110.060028312:30
19J. McCannL011+120.090102511:37
27N. BjugstadC011+120.1400010011:02
9E. RodriguesC000-110.060104010:14
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)30282.9332.74+0.7460:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).