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Blue Jackets at Flames
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV FS-O, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in overtime, TJ Brodie scoring at 4:49. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was TJ Brodie's goal at 4:49 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 22, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. TJ Brodie (1 G), 2. Joonas Korpisalo (34 saves, .919), 3. Mark Giordano (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    T. Brodie1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Korpisalo34 saves, .919
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ29060403222
CGYCGY0801321016337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:56
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:20

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:14
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:17

Overtime

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:49

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 19:26CGYSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Murray2 min

2nd

  • 15:09CBJBoone Jenner · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCBJ goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: TJ Brodie, OT 4:49 — CGY 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.26T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.26E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.26T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.22S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCGY
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ36%64%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCGY
22
Shots on goal
37
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
15
22
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-310.02000—25:12
58D. SavardD000+120.07120—23:43
44V. GavrikovD000+100.00130—23:18
71N. FolignoL011000.0031010021:43
14G. NyquistR101-140.56020—21:25
27R. MurrayD000-210.08010—21:22
10A. WennbergC000-210.08000020:21
18P. DuboisC011010.092104617:55
38B. JennerC000-130.291324717:22
20R. NashC000020.360205016:18
11K. StenlundC000020.20000015:43
2A. PeekeD011+110.09110—15:05
52E. BemstromC000-110.12100014:56
4S. HarringtonD011+100.00010—14:12
50E. RobinsonL000010.23030—11:56
15J. liljaL000+100.00010—11:31
23S. MatteauC000+110.06100010:27
74D. ShoreC101+110.051102509:58
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)37343.9193.22+0.2264:49

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).