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Canadiens at Islanders
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 15:43 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.4, NYI 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 27, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Carey Price stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Armia (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Danault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL31215210627
NYINYI070728222

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:31
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:43
  3. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    18:34

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Byron(4)SHG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    12:35

3rd period

  1. NYI
    slapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    6:14
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08
    5-1
    15:28
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(8)PPG
    B. Nelson (28), J. Eberle (23)
    wristxG 0.05
    5-2
    16:21
  4. MTL
    J. Armia(16)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.59
    6-2
    17:10

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·NYI 5 PIM

1st

  • 16:16NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Christian Folin5 min
  • 16:16MTLChristian Folin · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min

2nd

  • 11:35MTLMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 17:33MTLXavier Ouellet · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 15:44MTLBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 15:55MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMTL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Petry, 1st 15:43 — MTL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.23J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.21A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.20A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.19M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.14J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.11M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.05M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.05N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.04J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYI
2.45 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL37%63%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
22
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/0
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
5
34
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77B. KulakD000+230.10310—23:30
26J. PetryD101+210.07300—23:04
8B. ChiarotD011+100.06212—22:02
6S. WeberD000+220.01300—21:52
62A. LehkonenL011+210.38022—19:07
41P. ByronL101+230.211205018:41
40J. ArmiaR112+210.6320010018:36
24P. DanaultC022+210.051003918:13
61X. OuelletD000+210.05102—16:59
14N. SuzukiC000030.075103316:37
54C. HudonL101+120.06300—15:12
13M. DomiC000+110.15002014:40
11B. GallagherR112+250.35100—13:50
43J. WealC101+120.130003313:01
32C. FolinD000+100.00515—12:44
71J. EvansC000000.011004011:26
22D. WeiseR000010.10310—11:04
90T. TatarL000000.00000—02:45
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)22202.9092.53+0.5360:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).