Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Slater Koekkoek's goal at 9:56 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 27, TBL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Curtis McElhinney stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (3 G), 2. Corey Crawford (36 saves, .947), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Kubalik3 G

- ★★C. Crawford36 saves, .947

- ★★★B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-115:31
3rd period
0-20:17
1-24:36
2-25:02
3-29:56
4-211:43
5-217:29
Penalties
1st
- 4:25
Connor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Stephens2 min
- 6:54
Yanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
- 8:20
Patrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 13:15
Barclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
- 15:27
Brandon Saad · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
- 19:24
Alex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
2nd
- 5:20
served by C. Verhaeghe · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 10:38
Connor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
3rd
- 2:28
Luke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
- 5:57
Slater Koekkoek · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
- 10:35
Nikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
- 19:28
Drake Caggiula · Slashingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
- 19:28
Barclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
- 19:28
Cedric Paquette · Misconduct10 min
- 19:28
Zach Bogosian · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Slater Koekkoek, 3rd 9:56 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 1.23 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 0.01 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.90 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.30
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 1/6
- Power play
- 0/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 34
- 12
- Hits
- 18
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 3
- Giveaways
- 5
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
2Final
5@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
