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Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-O·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Koivu's goal at 12:08 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 28, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Matiss Kivlenieks stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koivu (2 G), 2. Ryan Donato (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Koivu2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Donato1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1709312428
MINMIN21721518540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:34
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:33
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:13

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:08
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.23win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:49

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.25win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    1:55
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    3:16
  3. MIN
    E. Staal (26), J. Brodin (23)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    9:57
  4. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    4-5
    16:54

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:11MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min

2nd

  • 3:40CBJScott Harrington · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 7:01MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCBJ goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Koivu, 2nd 12:08 — MIN 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.31M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.28M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.23J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.18G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsMIN
2.74 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.34 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
40
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
6
16
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD101+250.32010—26:41
58D. SavardD000010.01020—21:45
38B. JennerC000+130.290306820:52
71N. FolignoL101+110.101105020:41
18P. DuboisC101-120.420205020:00
65M. NutivaaraD000+110.01100—19:33
14G. NyquistR011+230.28010—19:18
44V. GavrikovD000-220.19200—18:58
24N. GerbeC000-210.07010018:34
23S. MatteauC000020.21210017:30
11K. StenlundC000+100.001105615:41
4S. HarringtonD011-210.08022—15:13
2A. PeekeD000-110.00000—14:57
52E. BemstromC101-240.42010013:38
74D. ShoreC011-100.152005012:23
50E. RobinsonL000-210.16000—08:37
48C. ThurkaufC000000.0120010008:06
15J. liljaL000000.00000—07:08
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80M. Kivlenieks(L)40355.8753.42-1.5858:25

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).