Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Koivu's goal at 12:08 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 28, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Matiss Kivlenieks stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koivu (2 G), 2. Ryan Donato (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-11:34
1-113:33
1-219:13
2nd period
1-312:08
1-419:49
3rd period
2-41:55
3-43:16
3-59:57
4-516:54
Penalties
1st
- 5:11
Joel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min
2nd
- 3:40
Scott Harrington · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
- 7:01
Marcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mikko Koivu, 2nd 12:08 — 72% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.74 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.4
- 2.34 G
- Even strength
- 5 G3.3
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 11
- Hits
- 6
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 3
- Giveaways
- 4
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 2-0
4@
5this game
5@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
